Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.052379 0.056862 0.061399 0.066329 0.071525 0.076833 0.082659
2025-03-30 0.045637 0.052235 0.059148 0.066906 0.075341 0.084208 0.094207
2025-04-06 0.039875 0.047901 0.056577 0.066591 0.077770 0.089806 0.103682
2025-04-13 0.036470 0.045714 0.055982 0.068123 0.081973 0.097176 0.115017
2025-04-20 0.032382 0.042337 0.053692 0.067429 0.083424 0.101297 0.122610
2025-04-27 0.029514 0.040104 0.052475 0.067748 0.085850 0.106388 0.131211
2025-05-04 0.027552 0.038766 0.052150 0.068969 0.089212 0.112480 0.140925
2025-05-11 0.026298 0.038175 0.052620 0.071057 0.093543 0.119674 0.151929
2025-05-18 0.023081 0.034866 0.049546 0.068648 0.092324 0.120209 0.155024
2025-05-25 0.021097 0.033009 0.048159 0.068202 0.093385 0.123377 0.161179
2025-06-01 0.019334 0.031318 0.046876 0.067786 0.094401 0.126431 0.167161
2025-06-08 0.018743 0.031176 0.047568 0.069862 0.098511 0.133255 0.177718
2025-06-15 0.017783 0.030493 0.047545 0.071048 0.101573 0.138904 0.187017
2025-06-22 0.016773 0.029674 0.047294 0.071907 0.104211 0.144049 0.195744
2025-06-29 0.015475 0.028349 0.046283 0.071701 0.105444 0.147427 0.202304
2025-07-06 0.014907 0.028069 0.046688 0.073376 0.109111 0.153871 0.212701
2025-07-13 0.013631 0.026626 0.045388 0.072676 0.109626 0.156309 0.218095
2025-07-20 0.012776 0.025778 0.044885 0.073027 0.111499 0.160459 0.225638
2025-07-27 0.012259 0.025429 0.045077 0.074320 0.114615 0.166202 0.235208
2025-08-03 0.012030 0.025529 0.045917 0.076523 0.118962 0.173557 0.246865
2025-08-10 0.010561 0.023474 0.043466 0.073988 0.116843 0.172488 0.247762
2025-08-17 0.009729 0.022437 0.042495 0.073520 0.117496 0.175001 0.253224
2025-08-24 0.008967 0.021464 0.041574 0.073082 0.118158 0.177507 0.258672